Blog Archives

Gold To Rise – Real Chinese Gold Demand Higher Than “Official” Demand

Frank Holmes joins Lawrie Williams, Koos Jansen and many others in questioning the “official” Chinese gold demand numbers. Real gold demand is likely much higher than the official numbers

by Frank Holmes

Inflation just got another jolt, rising as much as 2.5 percent year-over-year in January, the highest such rate since March 2012. Led by higher gasoline, rent and health care costs, consumer prices have now advanced for the sixth straight month. In addition, January is the second straight month for rates to be above the Federal Reserve’s target of 2 percent.

US Inflation Zooms up 5 Year High

Air fares are also climbing, and speaking of air fares, billionaire investor Warren Buffett added to his domestic airline holdings, we learned last week. Buffett’s holding company, Berkshire Hathaway, is now the second-largest holder of American Airlines, with an 8.79 percent share of the company. It also increased its holdings in Delta Air Lines by over 800 percent, to 60 million shares. The company now owns 43.2 million shares of Southwest Airlines, and it increased its stake in United Continental to about 28 million shares.

A March rate hike now looks all but imminent. Many economists—including the Goldman Sachs economists I had the pleasure to hear speak this week—expect to see at least three such hikes this year alone.

Gold responded accordingly, closing above $1,240 for the first time since soon after the November election. Below you can see the gold price charted against the inflation-adjusted 10-year Treasury yield, which is now in subzero territory.

Read full story here…

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Putin Gold Buying Is Back – Buys One Million Ounces In January

Russia Gold Buying Returns – Adds Substantial One Million Ounces To Reserves In January

Russia gold buying returned in January with the Russian central bank buying a very large 1 million ounces or 37 metric tonnes of gold bullion.

The increase in the gold reserves came after Russia did not buy a single ounce in December – a move seen as potentially a signal or an olive branch to the U.S. and the incoming Trump administration.

russia-buy-gold-january-2017

It also came after Russia had accelerated its gold buying in the final months of the Obama Presidency. October 2016 saw an increase of 1.3 million ounces or 48 metric tonnes and this was the largest addition of gold to the Russian monetary reserves since 1998. Indeed, it was the biggest monthly gold purchase in this millennium for the Russian central bank.

November 2016 saw another increase of 1 million ounces. Some analysts saw the increased Russian gold buying as a parting ‘gift’ and warning shot by Putin and Russia to his rival outgoing President Obama and the monetary and financial elites in the U.S.

Russian gold reserves increased a very large 199.1 tonnes in 2016 alone.

Read full story here…

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Gold The “Ultimate Insurance Policy” as “Grave Concerns About Euro” – Greenspan

“The eurozone isn’t working …” warns Greenspan

“I view gold as the primary global currency” said Greenspan

“Significant increases in inflation will ultimately increase the price of gold”

“Investment in gold now is insurance…”

euro-gold-greenspanSource: Getty

Alan Greenspan, the former head of the Federal Reserve has warned that the euro may collapse, saying that he has “grave concerns” about its future.

The imbalances in the economic strength of euro area countries make the continued function of the single currency area a primary concern, said former US Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan in an interview (February issue of “Gold Investor”) with the World Gold Council.

He suggests the inequality is largely down to a north/south geographical divide which means the division between the northern and southern EU countries is too big. The bloc’s more prosperous nations such as Germany consistently fund the deficits of those in the south, and that simply can’t go on, said Greenspan.

“The European Central Bank (ECB) has greater problems than the Federal Reserve. The asset side of the ECB’s balance sheet is larger than ever before, having grown steadily since Mario Draghi said he would do whatever it took to preserve the euro,” he said.

“And I have grave concerns about the future of the euro itself… The eurozone is not working”, added Greenspan.

Greenspan, chairman of the Federal Reserve from 1987 and 2006 has consistently been critical of the eurozone and the European Monetary Union (EMU). He has long maintained that the eurozone was doomed to fail because the impact of the divergent cultures and economies in the bloc has been grossly underestimated.

Read full story here…

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Every Citizen Should Own 3.5 Ounces of Gold Bullion – Central Bank

  • Central bank governor has “dream” for every citizen to own at least 100 grams of gold bullion
  • Governor of Central Bank of Kyrgyzstan said the central bank had sold around 140 kilos of gold bullion to the domestic population already
  • Central Asian country’s central bank continues to diversify into gold bullion
  • “Gold can be stored for a long time … doesn’t lose its value for the population as a means of savings”
  • “I’ll try to turn the dream into reality faster…”

The Governor of the Central bank of Kyrgyzstan has told Bloomberg News in an interview that it is his “dream” for every citizen in his country to own at least 100 grams (3.5 ounces) of gold as a way to protect their savings.

Diversifying one’s savings so that they are not solely held in fiat paper or electronic currencies in frequently vulnerable banks in a vulnerable banking and financial system is prudent advice in these uncertain times.

Indeed, there is a strong case to be made that the policies of most central banks in recent years have led to a massive debt bubble and the risk of another financial crisis, currency wars and currency debasement on a grand scale.

Hence, it was very refreshing to hear the actual governor of a central bank passionately advocate and proactively helping his fellow citizens to protect their savings by diversifying and having an allocation to physical gold.

Read full story here…

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Gold Is Undervalued Say Leading Fund Managers

  • Gold is undervalued according to a record number of fund managers
  • Last time gold was considered undervalued, the price surged
  • BAML surveyed 175 money managers with $543 billion in assets under management
  • 34% of investors believe protectionism is the biggest threat to markets
  • Gold viewed as the best protectionist investment by a third of investors

gold-undervalued-2017Gold in USD – 10 Years (GoldCore)

For the third time in a decade fund managers surveyed by Bank of America Merrill Lynch (BAML) believe that gold is undervalued. After the last two occasions the price of gold shot up.

The Bank of America Merrill Lynch Fund Managers survey spoke to 175 money managers with $543 billion in assets under management. It provides key indicators each month of those who run and manage the world’s investments. The news that they are buying gold and believe it is undervalued, is worth paying attention to.

As we often mention the status quo amongst money managers is for them to be bearish about gold, regardless of the price and state of the global economy. But this month, a majority of those surveyed (by a net margin of 15%) believe that gold is a buy, something that hasn’t been seen since January 2009 and January 2015.

Read full story here…

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Silver Price To Surge As “Investors and Users Fighting Over Available Physical Supplies”

Silver Price To Surge As “Investors and Users Fighting Over Available Physical Supplies”

One of the world’s foremost silver analysts Theodore Butler has elaborated on another “powerful” bullish factor which “screams at us to buy silver”.

goldcore-vat-free-silver

Mr. Butler is one of the leading experts on the silver market and he elaborates on his very positive outlook for silver prices in an article entitled ‘Another Unique Blow-Off Factor’ published on Silver Seek yesterday:

 The reason that this knowledge is so important is because the COMEX is the primary place where silver prices are set.

Forget about China, the dollar, the economy or whatever reason the media reports. Billion dollar banks, hedge funds and computerized trading monolith’s set the price on the COMEX.

What Mr. Butler’s brilliant analysis has uncovered is extremely complex, so I’ve had to simplify it so I could understand it myself. Over the years, he has pointed to the technical hedge funds as the big buyers and sellers who move prices up and down. The big banks such as JPMorgan take the other side of these trades. These technical funds usually go long as prices rise and short as prices fall. They trade in and out of their positions based on price movements.

Over the past three years, a new type of hedge fund buyer has emerged. Mr. Butler calls them the core non-technical funds. They don’t trade, they buy and hold. From late 2013 to the summer of 2015 their long position grew to 40,000 futures contracts and more recently to 60,000 contracts. That’s 300 million ounces of silver in this core long position. These are longs who are holding and waiting for higher prices. They use futures as their silver investment vehicle because of the leverage available.

Read full story here…

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Jim Rogers Buying Gold Bullion On Dips

  • Jim Rogers accumulating gold bullion on dips
  • “Get prepared” as “we’re going ‘to have the worst economic problems we’ve had in your lifetime or my lifetime’
  • Warns that Trump and his team are “very, very keen to have trade wars with China and other people”
  • History shows trade wars lead to real wars
  • Cashless Society – Cash-less means Freedom-less
  • Cashless societies are about governments “looking out for themselves first”
  • Gold and silver may head lower but advises accumulating bullion on the dip
  • Advocates storing gold in Singapore
Jim Rogers holds a gold coin (Digital Journal)

I want to own more gold and silver

In a wide ranging interview with MacroVoices’ Erik Townsend, legendary investor Jim Rogers, co-founder of Quantum Fund with fellow investor George Soros, has said that he wants to own more gold and silver and will continue to accumulate on any price dips.

Set against a background of thoughts regarding the both the political and economic outlook, Rogers echoes the growing theme we have been touching on in recent months – heightened and arguably unprecedented uncertainty.

Basing much of his analysis and thoughts on history, Rogers reminds us that it does repeat itself and we’re not to assume that the ways of modern life mean that things will turn out differently.

Mixed feelings on Trump

When it comes to what President Trump will mean for markets, Jim Rogers believe that if the new Commander In Chief says all the things that he will do then it will stand for some overwhelmingly poor results on an international scale.

Whilst Rogers believes that Trump’s promises to cut taxes, improve infrastructure and bring back $3 trillion worth of US company assets from overseas will be ‘wonderful, wonderful things.’ Yet, he seems more concerned about the idea of trade wars that a few in Trump’s ear seemed to have a thing for.

“Mr. Trump has also said he’s going to have trade war with China, Mexico, Japan, Korea a few other people that he has named. He swore that on his first day in office he would impose 45% tariffs against China. He’s been there three weeks, two or three weeks and he hasn’t done it yet but he still got it in his head I’m sure or maybe he’s just another politician like all the rest of them. He says one thing and he doesn’t mean it at all but he does have at least three people in high levels in his group who are very, very keen to have trade wars with China and other people.”

Rogers says it could be ‘happy days’ for a while if Trump doesn’t follow through on campaign promises to take on trade competitors, but warns that if Trump does pursue these ideas that “it’s all over. I mean history is very clear that trade wars always lead to problems, often to disaster, sometimes even to real war, a shooting war.”

Read full story here…

French Election Could See Euro Break Up – Unleash Financial Chaos

David McWilliams, economist, writer and journalist, has warned that the coming French election may lead to the euro breaking up and that Ireland should have a ‘plan B’ and ‘print punts’ in order to be ready for the collapse of the “single currency.”

16-07-2015
David McWilliams at Ireland’s Banking Inquiry

McWilliams writes

This time last year, only a few of us were suggesting that Brexit was likely. The mainstream view was that it couldn’t possibly happen. But it did. And so too did Trump. When this column argued in June that “we should prepare for President Trump”, one or two local talk shows chuckled and sneered at the mere suggestion that such a creature could inhabit the White House. But he is there.

In December, the Italian electorate revolted against its government – again the view of ‘sensible’ people was that bolshie Italians would see reason. But they didn’t.

The next stop on this political whirlwind will be the Netherlands next month; and the big one, of course, is France. In less than 70 days, France goes to the polls and only an idiot would rule out Marine Le Pen’s chances.

It was the great French romantic poet and novelist Victor Hugo who declared:

“You can resist an invading army; you cannot resist an idea whose time has come.”

Do you get the feeling that we are living through epochal change, where one great idea is about to be replaced by another? Are we experiencing the irresistible force of an idea whose time has come?

The first thing to happen in the case of a Le Pen victory is that money will flood out of all non-German members of the euro. Italy will face a massive bond crisis, presaging default fears. Greece will be gone. Spain and Portugal will experience similar bond crises, and so too will Ireland.

Read full story here…

Gold Prices Up 5.8% YTD As Trump ‘Honeymoon’ Ends

Gold prices continued to shine this week reaching $1,244.70 per ounce and and has posted gains in five of the last six weeks. This week it reached a new three-month high – it’s highest since the Trump win and has climbed over 6% this year, beating the gains made in the same period in 2016.

gold-prices-rally

The yellow metal has climbed 4.30% in the US dollar, 3.38% in the Euro and 1.35% in the sterling, in the last 30 days. This week gold is marginally higher in dollars and pounds but 1.5% higher in euro terms after the euro weakened on concerns of contagion due to the unresolved issues with Greece and other so called “PIIGS” nations and their still vulnerable banks and economies.

This performance has surprised many commentators and analysts as gold’s three month high has come at a time when stock prices are also breaking records.

When we are asked in years to come what we learnt from the Trump administration, the first thing that will come to mind is ‘Rules no longer applied.’

Whether you are for or against Trump, there is no denying that the rule book of what elected politicians should and should not do has been wholly torn to pieces and thrown out the window.

For starters, Trump appears to expect to be busy during his first 100 days putting in place exactly what he promised he would do, during his election campaign. This is almost unheard of. As Frank Holmes writes, the media took Trump literally but not seriously, his supporters took him seriously but not literally. The outcome of these expectations are showing themselves.

We take a brief look at what has driven gold this week and ask what the end of Trump’s honeymoon means for the gold price.

Click here to continue reading….

Give Real Gold This Valentines Day

Gift of Real Gold – Give It This Valentines Day 

For the love of gold
(Don’t) put a ring on it
Is gold jewellery going out of fashion?
You’ll never get what you paid for it
Devaluation: Synthetic diamonds, 3D Printing and Rise of the machines
Buy gold – No one has cracked alchemy
Give the gift of real gold – They will thank you for it  

goldsaver-gift-real-gold
For the love of gold

The first line of one of the oldest known Valentine’s reads

Je suis desja d’amour tanné or I am already sick of love

The lines were written in the 15th century by Charles, Duke of Orleans to his wife from the Tower of London and tragically the duchess died before the poem could reach her.

It is a funny line to start with in a love poem, but one that perhaps many of us can relate to at this time of year.

Everywhere we look there is a sea of red. Hearts and apparent expressions of love adorn shop windows, supermarket shelves and adverts on the television. The marketeers tug at our heart strings. It can all get a bit much for even the most romantic amongst us.

They say you can’t put a price on love, but at this time of year many have a darn good go at it. It’s February which means Valentine’s Day is here and we are guilt tripped into either feeling awful that we are single or that we don’t know what to buy the person we love.

A whopping 80% of Americans who are dating, engaged, or married celebrate Valentine’s Day, according to time.com. And like, I suspect, their European counterparts, they go all out when it comes to celebrating.

According to the U.S. National Retail Federation, spending this Valentine’s is estimated to fall this year, estimated to be down to $18.2 billion from $19.7 billion. 2016 was a 10-year high, whilst this year is expected to be a 3-year low. The average spend on Valentine’s in the United States in 2016 was $196 by men and $100 by women.

valentines-gold
It isn’t so surprising when you look at the climb in prices, year on year. If you want to see a real example of inflation, look no further than the By My Valentine Index created by bankrate.com. It shows that this year the cost of buying a basket of Valentine’s gifts will cost you $580.98. The price has climbed significantly from the 2016 Index of $512.02.

Read Full Story Here…

Trump Versus Putin – Russia Gold Buying To Intensify On Trump ‘Unpredictability’?

Gold Buying Russia To Increase Diversification On Trump ‘Unpredictability’?

Russia’s massive and increasing gold bullion reserves are kept in tightly-guarded locations across Russia due to the fear of sanctions and the ‘unpredictability’ of Donald Trump according to The Sun and Russia Beyond The Headlines.

russia-gold-buyRussia increased their gold reserves by a very large 199.1 tonnes in 2016. This was the eight consecutive year of gold diversification due to concerns about the dollar and currency wars

From The Sun:

Russia is hedging its bets with a stockpile of gold due to Donald Trump’s “unpredictable” nature.

The hoard, which is stashed around Moscow, St Petersburg and Yekaterinburg, has seen Russia become one of the world’s leading gold buyers – a stance that it hopes will protect it from any drastic changes that the new US President might have on the world economy.

Almost two-thirds of the nation’s gold is kept in Moscow, in a Central Bank repository.

The location of the gold, mainly in bullions weighing from 100grams to 14kgs, is a highly-guarded secret.

But the country’s leader, Vladimir Putin, has inspected one of the storage sites, with Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev also having carrying out visits.

Russia’s central bank has previously declared that gold was a “100 per cent guarantee from legal and political risks”, making it worth the risk of a swinging price, GoldCore reported.

Gold Buying RussiaRussia’s gold reserves now rank sixth in the world. Putin has been photographed a number of times visiting gold reserves.

Read full story here…

5 Must See Charts and Gold Mean “Impending Market Volatility”

  • Gold prices rising & up 6.6% YTD
  • Signal “impending market volatility”
  • World has never been more uncertain (see chart)
  • Fear in Wall Street versus Fear in Washington
  • Price of ‘plunge protection’ rising even as VIX remains low
  • Smart money diversifying into gold
  • Important to watch rising gold and rising bond yields 
  • Gold may prove the “tell”

Bloomberg have done an excellent article replete with five must see charts including gold charts that suggest that we are on the verge of significant market volatility and turmoil.

From Bloomberg:

“A former TV star as U.S. president doesn’t seem to have injected markets with much of a ‘‘fear factor.’’ But digging beneath the surface of an eight-year bull run exposes subtle signs that hint at an uneasy optimism.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average has sailed past 20,000 and the S&P 500 is nearing its life-time high set in January, indicating that investors have so far shrugged off the uncertainty brought by the new administration.

Read full story here…